Our video "Plague Time," is now available on our youtube channel.
Dr. Paul Ewald wrote the book "Plague Time" over 21 years ago. However, what he teaches, in the book, explains that this "unprecedented" virus - is just that!
What does this mean?
Decades and centuries ago, pandemics were not only possible, but somewhat common. Why? Because of timing.
Today, we are completely globalized. Modern transportation has put essentially every human in contact with one another. By extension, so too have we been in contact with every animal - bats included. Thus, if anyone or any thing is harboring a pathogen, it has already been transmitted. We have been exposed to most, if not all, pandemic-causing pathogens.
As an example, Ebola is an infectious viral disease that affects humans and nonhuman primates, such as monkeys, gorillas and chimpanzees. Although the virus was identified for the first time in 1976, it has existed for more than 10,000 years.
So a scant few years ago (2014), there was an ebola outbreak. Some pundits in the U.S. thought there would be massive deaths, but there wasn't, because the infected were easily identified and isolated. Nine of the people contracted the disease outside the US and traveled into the country, either as regular airline passengers or as medical evacuees; of those nine, two died. Two people contracted Ebola in the United States. Both were nurses who treated an Ebola patient; both recovered.
This result is easily explained by the chart above. High lethality = low transmissibility because:
It's easy to identify and isolate those infected
The infected don't live a long time to transmit the virus
As you go down the "lethality - Mortality" curve (X-axis) - the probability of transmissibility goes UP because it is less obvious who has the virus - at least short term (timing).
Dr. Ewald makes that point that the TRUE pandemic is chronic diseases - most of which have an infectious component (I know you haven't been told this) which Dr. Carter and I showed to be the case in our "COVID" paper we published last year.
The most important "take home" point relates to pandemics. We are truly globalized and have been in contact with ALL the world - through a mere couple degrees of freedom - thus, any NEW pandemic must be truly NEW - and not of nature - thus MANUFACTURED.
The only modern exception to HIV/AIDS. But when you dig under the covers, the spread of this disease started 100 years ago when transmissibility was high because transportation was slow - TIMING.
Using the earliest known sample of HIV, scientists have been able to create a 'family-tree' ancestry of HIV transmission, allowing them to discover where HIV started.
Their studies concluded that the first transmission of SIV to HIV in humans took place around 1920 in Kinshasa in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DR Congo).10
The same area is known for having the most genetic diversity in HIV strains in the world, reflecting the number of different times SIV was passed to humans. Many of the first cases of AIDS were recorded there too.
The area around Kinshasa is full of transport links, such as roads, railways and rivers. The area also had a growing sex trade around the time that HIV began to spread. The high population of migrants and sex trade might explain how HIV spread along these infrastructure routes.
Our "Plague Time" video:
As we state in this video, there is no need to panic about future pandemics UNLESS they are manufactured - particularly in a laboratory using
Look below to find the times and links to our weekly webinars....
What is the Chronic Disease Support program?
1. It is a weekly live, interactive, 1h, webinar on Zoom covering important health-related topics.
2. The schedule is Tuesday at 8 pm EST. The topic is the same at both times/dates. We offer 2 times per week to accommodate schedules.
Tuesday Zoom link (8pm EST):
copy and paste to your browser at the designated time to join.
Archived videos are found at https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCd_LYVg22017AkE1GfKa4_A
Except those associated with the vaccines
Stay Well