Dr. Wittkowski received his PhD in computer science from the University of Stuttgart and his ScD (Habilitation) in Medical Biometry from the Eberhard-Karls-University Tuüingen, both Germany. He worked for 15 years with Klaus Dietz, a leading epidemiologist who coined the term “reproduction number”, on the Epidemiology of HIV before heading for 20 years the Department of Biostatistics, Epidemiology, and Research Design at The Rockefeller University, New York. Dr. Wittkowski is currently the CEO of ASDERA LLC, a company discovering novel treatments for complex diseases from data of genome-wide association studies.
His views may be controversial based on what we are hearing through the media, but he is a scientist and presents a scientific view based on the current data and vast experience.
Here is the table of contents:
0:00 Knut Wittkowski, PhD – Epidemiology and Pandemic Expert
0:51 Protect the vulnerable ONLY
1:20 Virus extinguished in 4 weeks
1:50 Herd immunity is the only solution – we want it to spread quickly
2:30 Containment policy – flatten the curve – prolong the life of the infection
3:20 We DO have past experience – this is NOT a unique pathogen
4:00 Overseas – first infected – cases are going down
4:30 Chinese epidemic is over – difficult to hide information
5:10 No intervention – epidemic would already be over
6:00 2% of symptomatic cases will die – regardless of containment – equal to Flu
10:00 Social distancing numbers are not scientific. This flu is not different
11:00 Flu ends in Spring because people go outdoors where flu doesn’t spread
11:15 Staying indoors is the wrong solution
12:00 China: It took a long time to execute containment – thus herd immunity was reached
12:30 UK projections down from 500,000 dead to 20,000 dead
13:00 Data shows social distancing did NOT have an impact on the disease
15:45 Tracing is impossible
18:30 Slightly more contagious maybe, compared to other diseases.
21:00 Disease almost over in countries infected early – before isolation
24:30 Not different than normal Flu in terms of mortality
25:10 Internet caused panic and reactionary decisions
27:00 More deaths due to social distancing
28:00 2nd wave likely due to social distancing – lack of “herd immunity”
31:00 Resist political-based decisions
31:30 Closing schools most destructive decision
32:00 Herd Immunity: 80% contact with virus and immune an infect person cannot spread disease to anyone
33:45 Testing is NOT productive. Antibody testing is useful to determine herd immunity
35:00 We don’t die of the virus – we die from pneumonia caused by bacteria (That’s why Z-packs work)
37:30 NYC too many people don’t have health insurance – delayed treatment causes death
38:30 Antibody testing determines who was infected. Decline in infection indicates herd immunity
39:30 Artificially keeping exposure low, herd immunity not reached and disease will continue
40:00 Pandemic like every Flu every year
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Thomas J. Lewis, Ph.D.