John P.A. Ioannidis - Stanford C. F. REHNBORG PROFESSOR IN DISEASE PREVENTION IN THE SCHOOL OF MEDICINE, PROFESSOR OF MEDICINE, OF HEALTH RESEARCH AND POLICY (EPIDEMIOLOGY) AND BY COURTESY, OF STATISTICS AND OF BIOMEDICAL DATA SCIENCE Stanford Prevention Research Center Web page: http://web.stanford.edu/people/jioannid
His views are truly "science-based." He is famous for his paper that had 3,000,000 views titled, "Why Most Published Research Findings Are False."
Here is the table of contents:
1 Min: Death rates same as for seasonal Flu
1:30: Hospitals major source of virus spread
2:00: Strategy – Keep all but the sickest away from the hospital
2:40: Over 65yo, risk of dying from COVID-19 goes up significantly
3:30: Negligible risk of dying if younger than 65 and healthy
4:00: PCR – good test but positive does NOT imply infectious
4:20: Antibody test – if positive, you HAVE mounted an immune response
4:30 If you have antibodies you are likely protected for a while – just like the Flu
4:40 Innate immune system may control the virus without antibodies detected
5:00 Measuring innate immune response is necessary too
5:30 Vaccine may NOT be the solution
7:00 Vaccines did NOT work for previous coronaviruses
7:30 Vaccines led to cytokine storm and more associated deaths
8:00 Circumstances for a vaccine
8:30 Novel coronavirus is NOT apocalyptic
8:45 Social distancing response – does NOT save lives – postpones the inevitable
10:00 Spread of virus is inevitable – shelter in place delays infection ONLY
10:20 Shelter-in-place creates collateral damage that may be worse
11:00 Initial projections were astronomically wrong about death rates
11:30 Case fatality rate same as Flu
12:00 Time to open up economy carefully
12:20 Political decisions to open up economy and society
13:00 Dr. Ioannidis indicates that we must adapt to new knowledge
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Thomas J. Lewis, Ph.D.